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http://www.wdr.de/online/politik/cdu_kandidat/img/merkel_bedroeppelt.jpg
I know who she is. I think its a funny picture. Youre the one wackin off to it since youre so defensive
….i guess thats why they call you butter bar, lol

James William Smith asked:


Political pundits are beginning to sense an end to the Presidential campaign of Hillary Clinton. Last week Peggy Noonan wrote a column questioning how gracious Hillary Clinton would be in defeat. This week Dick Morris predicted an eventual nomination victory for Barack Obama and the end of the pursuit of the White House by the former First Lady.

So are these pundits correct? Is the race for the Democratic party nomination over? Will it in fact be Barack Obama and John McCain in a race for the White House in the fall? Since at this point in the campaign it is all about the delegate count, let’s look at the possibilities.

The delegate count after last night’s Potomac Primaries is still very close with Obama leading Clinton by just 67 delegates (1242 to 1175) according to CBS News. The magic number for the Democratic Party Presidential nomination is 2025. Nevertheless the campaign of Hillary Clinton certainly appears to be in big trouble.

Hillary Clinton has lost every primary and caucus since Super Tuesday and her prospects for victory are slim for the rest of the month of February. She has loaned her campaign five million dollars according to various news reports. Her senior staff has been working without pay and her campaign is currently raising half of the amount of new campaign funds on a daily basis in comparison to the campaign of her opponent. She has just replaced her campaign manager.

The Clinton current campaign strategy is to conserve money and concede the remaining state primaries in February to Obama. The campaign is concentrating on winning the remaining primaries in March, April, and May. This would give Barack Obama substantial victories in all the remaining primaries in February (Hawaii, Wisconsin, and Washington). It should give him about 1300 total delegates on March 1, 2008.

This February election result would insure that Clinton would trail Obama by around 90 - 100 delegates entering the March 4, 2008 primary contests of Ohio, Rhode Island, Texas, and Vermont. She will have not beaten Obama in a primary or caucus for a month. To remain in the race, Clinton would need victories approaching 60% of the vote in every remaining state except Mississippi in the month of March. If she somehow pulled this result off she would have about 1436 delegates on April 1, 2007. Obama would win about 165 delegates and his total would be 1465. The dubious news for Hillary Clinton is that Obama would still remain ahead at the end of March in delegates even if Clinton ran the table in March and won each contest (except Mississippi) by a 60-40% margin.

In April, 151 delegates will be at stake in the state of Pennsylvania. Let’s assume that Hillary Clinton wins that state with 60% of the vote and captures the same proportion of delegates. Her delegate total would be 1556 to Obama’s 1522, giving her a slight lead in delegate count. There would be 214 remaining delegates for the candidates to battle for during the primaries in the month of May.

Therefore, for Hillary Clinton to regain the lead on pledged delegates from Obama, she needs to win all the primaries (except Mississippi) with at least 60% of the vote in March and April. She needs to win the primaries in Ohio, Rhode Island, Texas, Vermont, Wyoming, and Pennsylvania. She needs to achieve these primary victories with 60% or more of the vote. She will be outspent by the Obama campaign since he is raising more money. She also needs to produce these victories after a month of non-stop primary losses. Clinton also must realize that this is the same dubious strategy that did not turn out well for Republican Rudy Giuliani at the beginning of the 2008 election season. Based on all these factors, her chance to secure the Democratic Party nomination at this point look like a long shot indeed.

It is true that there are still about 500 remaining Democratic Party super delegates that remain uncommitted to any candidate. These delegates are Democratic party members and insiders. The problem for Hillary Clinton is that these delegates will quickly jump aboard the campaign that looks like a winner during March. After the primaries on March 4, 2008, if Obama is still ahead by at least 100 delegates and has won most of the state primaries and caucuses ( he has won 23 of the 35 to date), the super delegates will begin to endorse him in significant numbers and the Democratic race will be all but over.

The fact is that Obama has been endorsed by too many Democratic party regulars to be a victim of a back room deal that would have most of the remaining super delegates endorse Hillary Clinton. Also, the Democratic party will be careful not to allow insiders to appear to overturn the actual voting results of the primary states. However, in a last desperate attempt to stave off defeat, Hillary Clinton will probably try to use the disqualified delegates in the Michigan and Florida primaries to her advantage. These delegates were disqualified because each state moved its primary forward in the 2008 election calendar. As a result of breaking party rules the states delegates are not currently included in the delegate totals of either candidate.

In general, Hillary Clinton has to hope she can stop Obama’s political momentum very soon. Indeed, it now looks like she will be behind by nearly 100 delegates after all the February primaries are finished. One hundred delegates is a dangerous number to be trailing in this election year with the Democratic Party rule of proportionate allocation of the vote for each states delegates. Her only remaining hope is to run the table with big (twenty percentage point) wins in all the remaining primaries during the months of March, April, and May. However, her campaign’s last stand may well turn out to be on March 4, 2008 in either Ohio or Texas.

It is interesting to see how things can change so quickly in politics. Six months ago, Hillary Clinton was the candidate of inevitability and Barack Obama was the candidate of hope. In February 2008, each candidate’s prospects for the Democratic Presidential nomination are now exactly the reverse.

FunTimeGuy asked:


It appeared to be a large hardback.

Michael Payne asked:


Words are the tools for an architect who will hatch a pyramid for the middle class. A pyramid of words.

Words will renounce a surging military and bring our boys home. Words have stung the beehive.

Words will consummate this rockstar politician with his Cuban megalomaniac.

Bullshit.

Barack Obama has created a fallacious utopia in which actions do not have consequences and consumption does not have a price. How do the voters respond? They love it. They eat out of his palm. He’s become a rockstar with his leather jacket and ripped jeans draped over his political garments. Am I the only one that just doesn’t get it? I’m tempted to bring up the familiar headline, It’s the Voters,Stupid. Well, it IS the voters. And hell, they are stupid.

The voters only see what Obama CAN do. Obama CAN give a $4000 tax credit to any student willing to do community service. But CAN my grandfather, who gave every last penny he managed to scrape back to his family, afford the increase in taxes? No.

Now slap universal healthcare on top of that. Barack Obama will break America with taxes. It’s the classic Democratic copout: if he can’t pay for it, you shouldn’t be able to either. Look, the problem isn’t that not everyone is covered, as Clinton vehemently insists, but the reason WHY they’re not covered; it’s too damn expensive. Drive down the costs of healthcare and naturally more people will be able to afford it.

John McCain knows how to do that. Republicans know how to do that: by encouraging competition among health insurers. It’s the simple philosophy that drives our economy: when one gas station sees another doing well, it wants in on the profits. So, what does it do? It sets up shop near the other in hopes of doing so. Gas prices will in effect go down as they compete for business.

But Barack Obama’s translucent policies aren’t cause of his rockstar status. He’s running as the new kid on the block. Let’s be honest with ourselves, Obama could not run on a message of change if he were another white male. He’s garnered so much media attention because of his race. It is the troubling truth that Americans are more concerned with appearance than approach to government.

Let’s be clear; race does not determine who should run our government. Unfortunately for Obama, comments such as Reverend Wright’s bring the whole issue of race back into the spotlight. In hindsight, Obama’s Texas ad in response to Clinton is laughable. Let’s recap. Clinton ran the classic “3 AM phone call” ad in which the phone is ringing in the White House and Clinton is, because of her experience, the person the voter should want to answer. Obama fired back with an ad that basically portrayed how it’s not the experience that matters, it’s the judgement.

Sorry Barack, but you just sunk your own ship. YOU don’t have the judgement in choosing friends. YOU don’t have the judgement in choosing advisors. So why should you be president? You have neither the experience or the judgement to be president.

Ultimately, while race was Obama’s strenght within the Democratic party, it will prove to be his downfall in the general election. The more the people get to know the newcomer, the less effective his “change” campaign becomes. Without a doubt the media has largely been supportive of Obama. But the more Obama is in the spotlight the more he will be undressed by the American people. The leather will gradually fall to reveal a politician. Imagine that. A politician running for president.

Breonna Isabela asked:


It feels really bad to have a car that is producing noise instead of good performance and precisely saying good performance means a car with good speed and smoothness without noise. It is something like the way your car performed on its first day. But with the passage of the time the performance deteriorates and speed and smoothness hampers. One big reason for such deterioration may be bad suspension bushes.

This is true because suspension bushes are those components of your car which play a major role in maintaining its speed and smoothness. Auto-experts suggest that you must get them replaced after every 10,000 miles of car ride because they are the hard workers of your car who are doing rigorous work in the toughest of conditions. Sometimes they work without any lubrication and they get deteriorate easily also if they are made up of ordinary rubber or nylon.

Generally people use ordinary suspension bushes which are made up of nylon or ordinary rubber. But this is not a healthy habit. These materials have many drawbacks. They have poor load bearing and low tensile strength and they have a too high wear rate. They also deteriorate due to the effects of oil and gas and they have a poor resilience specially at high hardness. It makes them slow for coming into their original shape which is imperative for being a healthy component.

So, nowadays auto-experts are advising for using suspension bushes which are made up of polyurethane. These are the most appropriate material for making of it. In fact, polyurethane’s elasticity allows control arms to move as intended and its tensile strength saves your car from cornering, braking, accelerating and poor road surfaces.

Therefore, for getting a noiseless car with just appropriate speed and smoothness always try polyurethane made suspension bushes. They enhances the life of your car and also its overall health.

dogukansavas asked:


Please give me some sources and offical documents.

Christopher II asked:


Politically talking?
And i miss another guy…Hugo Chavez!

The Gorn King asked:


My guess is that he is legally alive. He is probably being kept alive by machines, and if they were removed he would dies very quickly.

He is not the author of all the recent essays and articles printed with his name on them. He may have had some input months ago, but they are largely the work of someone else.

With Castro on life support, the current leadership is waiting for a moment that is politically and strategically right for them to announce his death. When that moment comes, they will remove him from life support and just wait. This will be the only course of action as he is in a condition which he will never recover from.

What do you think?

Eric Castro asked:


TUNGURAHUA VOLCANO

The weather has been favorable for visual observation of the volcano during the last weeks. Emissions of gasses with small content of ashes are still occurring, as well as bellowing sounds from the interior. The seismic activity has remained at a level considered low. Mudslides along the flanks have been observed flowing down the gorges on the sides of the volcano. In general it is evident that since the end of January 2005 there is a continuous decrease in the number of explosive events as well as of the energy liberated by them. Actually in 2007 the volcano still making eruption but with the right advice it can be safe to visit Baños.

COTOPAXI VOLCANO

The activity of this volcano remains at a level that is considered as moderate, with tendency to decrease. A series of seismic events have been registered by the instruments, which are related to the movement of fluids within the volcano. Visual observation detects small emissions at the crater, mostly of water vapor, that do not overpass the altitude of the summit. Since the beginning of October, instruments show a widening of the northeastern flank, which has been constant in the last weeks. The Cotopaxi volcano still in activity but it won{t go to erupt in a few years more.

EL REVENTADOR VOLCANO

Explosive events continue to occur, which generate high columns of vapor and gas with variable content of ashes. Some of the explosions generate important acoustic waves – which cause the vibration of windows in the neighborhood– and the emission of incandescent material in the shape of blocks.

The seismic activity of El Reventador is characterized by the generation of bands of tremors, both harmonic and spasmodic of durations that go from various minutes to hours. Ash falls have not been reported in the last weeks.

SIERRA NEGRA VOLCANO (GALAPAGOS)

On October 22, 2005, the Sierra Negra Volcano on Isla Isabela in the Galapagos Islands began erupting. The volcano produced an ash cloud several kilometers high and a lava flow down its northeast flank. Lava flows on the flanks have now stopped and lava is going into the immense crater of Sierra Negra.

Eruptions are common in this volcanically active archipelago, however, this eruption has not endangered any of Isla Isabela’s human inhabitants, or any of the wildlife for which the Galapagos is famous.

for more information about Ecuador & Galapagos Cruises visit:

Galapagos Islands Cruises

Galapagos Cruises

Andrew Rondeau asked:


 
The First-Class Barack Obama Campaign If you want to see this movie played out to its full effect on a national stage, look no further than the Barack Obama campaign. Barack Obama has assembled a first rate political campaign - the best of all the remaining presidential candidates, and it’s starting to pay huge dividends. Barack Obama isn’t winning because he’s a great inspirational speaker - although that doesn’t hurt. He’s winning because his campaign is better managed and organized. Plain and simple. How They Run Their Campaign… In fact, I think the way Hillary Clinton and Barack Obama are running their respective campaigns is a snapshot into how they would each run the country. Obama’s campaign is exciting and extremely well organized and he reaches across political, gender and ethnic lines. His campaign is a well-oiled machine. And the fact that he’s an amazing speaker makes people want to follow him even more. Hilary Clinton Is So Disorganized Hillary’s campaign on the other hand is extremely disorganized, rife with juvenile in-fighting and she is a very polarizing candidate. Not only that, in her attempts to stave off Obama’s steam roller like momentum, she changes her message every week. She started out with “Ready from day one” being the theme of her campaign. Now it’s “Speeches vs. solutions.” Where’s the managerial consistency? Good managers don’t panic at the first sign of adversity. But that’s  exactly what her campaign is doing and that’s why Obama is winning. What Environment Would You Prefer To Work In - Barack or Hilary? Does that sound like some of the work environments you’ve been in? According to the website The GoodManager.com,  ”It is the job of the manager to coordinate the work of others and is held accountable for their work.  The five main jobs of managers are planning, organizing and staffing, leading and motivating the organization, coordination through communication of objectives and plans, and assessing and measuring the work of employees.  Effective managers are able to use their skills in each of these areas to attain the goals of the organization.” Learn For Free… The above statement describes Barack Obama management abilities to a “T.” Barack Obama’s campaign is a successful business model that every manager can learn from. And you don’t have to pay a dime to do it, because he’s on the internet, on television and in the newspapers every single day. Watch and learn!